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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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we hope to get on john raulson out of nevada. this is interesting for many reasons, and i wanted to talk specific alally about nevada wh the foreclosures are high and unemployment rate is high. latinos in that state could help president obama win it in a significant way. let's see what we see in regarding the white vote and in a key state like nevada the latino vote being the difference. >> if everybody recalls the election of 2010, when reid was running against sharon inkeningle, all the polls showed engel was ahead by significant margins. what happened was at the end of the day when you looked at the scorecard, latinos went in favor to harry reid 9-10. that was because sharon engel's campaign was so egregious when it came to the latino votes. pollsters feel that la tyne notices won't turn out, and a lot of working class latinos are cell phones. this is the dreary part of polling. you often miss a big swath of potential when it comes to voting to the new voter, which is not only latinos but women and youth. what we're going to s
we hope to get on john raulson out of nevada. this is interesting for many reasons, and i wanted to talk specific alally about nevada wh the foreclosures are high and unemployment rate is high. latinos in that state could help president obama win it in a significant way. let's see what we see in regarding the white vote and in a key state like nevada the latino vote being the difference. >> if everybody recalls the election of 2010, when reid was running against sharon inkeningle, all the...
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Nov 1, 2012
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he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and iowa. that's the way that he holds on even if romney somehow runs the table in florida, virginia, and ohio. if he can hold those other states, he can still win. >> chuck, you go along with that? >> i do. >> we need virginia and florida? >> i have been trying -- the sunday romney schedule had been in the dark. they had set it up. here is the sunday schedule. we just got it. iowa, ohio, pennsylvania, and virginia. now -- >> pennsylvania, they got a chance there? yes. is it likely? >> feels like they're looking for more paths and more opportunities. they basically failed to expand the map early. they're hoping maybe hope upon hope that they steal a state late, that somehow they could scramble the whole thing up with pennsylvania. the fact is they're close in pennsylvania but it's lucy and the football close. >> there's a lot of work to be done by the democrats in southeastern pennsylvania. >> they do have work to do in western pennsylvania. there's a whole bunch of democratic -- your friend ma
he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and iowa. that's the way that he holds on even if romney somehow runs the table in florida, virginia, and ohio. if he can hold those other states, he can still win. >> chuck, you go along with that? >> i do. >> we need virginia and florida? >> i have been trying -- the sunday romney schedule had been in the dark. they had set it up. here is the sunday schedule. we just got it. iowa, ohio,...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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i've been in here 23, 24 days, i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the middle depends on it. >> vice president joe biden, thank you for your time. good luck. >>> north carolina and colorado look pretty tough. coming up, where does the race stand? we have the results of the latest and last poll before the election. that's next. and we have our top people here tonight. chuck todd, howard fineman, eugene robinson and others. the big question is about big bill. if president obama does win re-election tuesday night, the person he can thank the most perhaps probably is the guy he was campaigning with in new hampshire, bill clinton, the big dog could be the one who pulls him over the
i've been in here 23, 24 days, i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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nevada may well be one that we don't carry. what's interesting about ohio, that state does not have a large minority vote. it's about 85% white. if romney were getting the same white vote there he gets in virginia, where he is tied and the romney campaign is nervous, he would be winning ohio. that's also the story in pennsylvania. one quick footnote on pennsylvania. one reason the romney guys like it, even though historically it is more democratic, is there has not been a campaign there. they haven't had the $200 million of negative ads. so romney's numbers are better there in a lot of the states where they have trench warfare. >> people may not believe this, but there is a morning after this race, tom and savannah. and what happens in washington after that? david brooks in his column writes about the fiscal cliff which happens at the end of this year, big tax increases and also cuts. here's what he writes. the bottom line is this. if obama wins, he'll probably get small bore stacis. if romney wins, we are more likely to get re
nevada may well be one that we don't carry. what's interesting about ohio, that state does not have a large minority vote. it's about 85% white. if romney were getting the same white vote there he gets in virginia, where he is tied and the romney campaign is nervous, he would be winning ohio. that's also the story in pennsylvania. one quick footnote on pennsylvania. one reason the romney guys like it, even though historically it is more democratic, is there has not been a campaign there. they...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the
we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i...
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Nov 20, 2012
11/12
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. >>> in nevada where prostitution is legal in some areas, the owner of the mustang ranch brothel has been elected to serve as county commissioner. all right. this is the first such achievement for a brothel owner in state history. >>> wall street kicks off this week with the dow at 12,795 after jumping 207 points yesterday. the s&p climbed 27. the nasdaq went up 62. >>> overseas markets were down this morning. the nikkei lost ten points while the hang seng fell 33. >>> maybe congress should go out of town more often. lawmakers left washington for the holiday and markets rallied on hopes for compromise and fiscal cliff negotiations. the dow and the s&p had their best days in two months, while the nasdaq saw its biggest gain since late july. >>> apple led the run-up adding a whopping 7%. google was a close number two climbing nearly 6%. traders even shrugged off news that moody's stripped france of its aaa credit rating. >>> elsewhere, hostess and second largest union have agreed to try to resolve their differences in mediation. >>> federal labor officials say they'll decide quickly wh
. >>> in nevada where prostitution is legal in some areas, the owner of the mustang ranch brothel has been elected to serve as county commissioner. all right. this is the first such achievement for a brothel owner in state history. >>> wall street kicks off this week with the dow at 12,795 after jumping 207 points yesterday. the s&p climbed 27. the nasdaq went up 62. >>> overseas markets were down this morning. the nikkei lost ten points while the hang seng fell...
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Nov 21, 2012
11/12
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nevada wants online poker made legal and senators are trying to push a bill through congress to do that just before the year ends. the bill could be challenged in court and declared unconstitutional because it could punish too severely. foreign competitors. remember when vegas did not want online poker legalized? now they do. >> plenty of other companies do. >> caesar's entertainment would be beneficial to them. nice boxes. >> brady bunch. >> if this bill passes it is a huge plus. >> you are moving your chips. >> we are going to talk about espn which might be esp unstoppable. it has landed a 12-year contract to begin airing the college football playoff series in 2014 for a deal which published reports say could be worth $470 million a year but will there be money left to pay pete? >> he is a good looking man. >> he is all hands out there. >> the other gentleman was 4'3". >> disney in that. >> i think they reported the quarter. the stocks sold off. it is held at 48. if you believe in the tape which i don't but if you do i think disney is very interesting. >> we are all about the fiscal c
nevada wants online poker made legal and senators are trying to push a bill through congress to do that just before the year ends. the bill could be challenged in court and declared unconstitutional because it could punish too severely. foreign competitors. remember when vegas did not want online poker legalized? now they do. >> plenty of other companies do. >> caesar's entertainment would be beneficial to them. nice boxes. >> brady bunch. >> if this bill passes it is a...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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he's leading in nevada. he's leading iow. actually, he's pulled ahead in virginia, which we haven't had in a while. and it's but he has 22,000 votes. separate them. right now we're extraneous numbers at this point president leads in flor is okay let's say there's something whack cuyahoga and the cuyahoga number don't go the way -- the way ours go. there's colorado, nevada, florida, virginia that are all ever so slightly appe trending towards the president. you'd rather be with these few precinct dyremaining. you'd rather be the president ditto with >> this is kind of a amazing. i will say that this cannot go unremarked trying to get on air the fox newschannel to rescind its call inhi candidate that he has rolled to the tune of hundreds d thousands of dollars. >> this goes to the point that i've been making quite a bit there was going church of one not going to lost. just feeling of greed that they oing to have a large republican base it. they were told that the polls were skewed for weeks, that there was something wrong with
he's leading in nevada. he's leading iow. actually, he's pulled ahead in virginia, which we haven't had in a while. and it's but he has 22,000 votes. separate them. right now we're extraneous numbers at this point president leads in flor is okay let's say there's something whack cuyahoga and the cuyahoga number don't go the way -- the way ours go. there's colorado, nevada, florida, virginia that are all ever so slightly appe trending towards the president. you'd rather be with these few...
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Nov 15, 2012
11/12
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. >> yeah, nevada counts. we'll see. give me shameless plugs. >> i should promote my new website. my daughter was picked this week to be on the first ever girls flag football team for her high school. >> nice. everything is cooler in nevada. >> dan bolt's ebook out today. >> our paper has a beautiful new look. >> a great little piece up on therue.com about the election. check it out. >> i will see you from asia. i'm headed for 15 hours on a plane ride. we'll see you right back here, somebody will tomorrow. chris jansing is next. bye-bye. u 1% cash back on all purchases, plus a 50% annual bonus. and everyone...but her likes 50% more cash. but i'm upping my game. do you want a candy cane? yes! do you want the puppy? yes! do you want a tricycle? yes! do you want 50 percent more cash? no! ♪ festive. [ male announcer ] the capital one cash rewards card gives you 1% cash back on every purchase plus a 50% annual bonus on the cash you earn. it's the card for people who like more cash. what's in your wallet? it's the card for people who like more cash. those little things for you, life's
. >> yeah, nevada counts. we'll see. give me shameless plugs. >> i should promote my new website. my daughter was picked this week to be on the first ever girls flag football team for her high school. >> nice. everything is cooler in nevada. >> dan bolt's ebook out today. >> our paper has a beautiful new look. >> a great little piece up on therue.com about the election. check it out. >> i will see you from asia. i'm headed for 15 hours on a plane ride....
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Nov 14, 2012
11/12
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then colorado, ohio, new hampshire, nevada. only wisconsin and florida, by the way, wisconsin, how about that, wisconsin and florida below the national average on whether government should do less. let's talk about health care. repeal some or all? 49% nationally. leave it or expand it 44%. there's a five-point difference on this and i want you to follow that in the swing states, if you will. as you can see colorado, iowa, ohio and florida all higher than the national average on the repeal, if you will, below, nevada, virginia, wisconsin. have virginia number might surprise some people. all -- look at wisconsin was the only state in the battleground states where the expanded actually -- or not only leave it alone or expanded actually was higher than the repeal some or all. wisconsin, which was ground zero during the whole role of government debate with the unions. finally, who should see tax hik hikes? everyone -- those making over $250,000 or everyone? that was 60% overall. it's something you've heard from the president. he bel
then colorado, ohio, new hampshire, nevada. only wisconsin and florida, by the way, wisconsin, how about that, wisconsin and florida below the national average on whether government should do less. let's talk about health care. repeal some or all? 49% nationally. leave it or expand it 44%. there's a five-point difference on this and i want you to follow that in the swing states, if you will. as you can see colorado, iowa, ohio and florida all higher than the national average on the repeal, if...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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and then sharon engel in nevada. harry reid should be retired watching boxing matches. >> it's political malpractice on the part of the republicans if you want to be in leadership. >> even if the margin is narrow and obama wins subject tomorrow morning has got to be in many ways, we'll have many issues to cover, but politically the fate of the republican party. >> there's no doubt about it. >> demographically, ideologically and all the rest. it's in real trouble even if the margin is narrow. >> and the big question is especially for conservative, movement conservatives are going to be asking how did we lose this race? we will be asking the question that democrats and people that write for the new yorker were asking after you lost to george w. bush twice. let's go now to elijah cummings in baltimore, maryland. how's it going, buddy? how are you feeling? >> i feel great. >> are you going to guarantee that the president will carry maryland tonight? are you willing to step out on a limb? >> by at least 25 points. by at l
and then sharon engel in nevada. harry reid should be retired watching boxing matches. >> it's political malpractice on the part of the republicans if you want to be in leadership. >> even if the margin is narrow and obama wins subject tomorrow morning has got to be in many ways, we'll have many issues to cover, but politically the fate of the republican party. >> there's no doubt about it. >> demographically, ideologically and all the rest. it's in real trouble even if...
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Nov 4, 2012
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. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> brown wins. does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale. >> give it to blue? give it to blue? >> i don't know. >> we'll put it there for now. we can change it back. that gets us through the presidential toss-ups. let's go to the red states if you will. these are a ton of great senate races, let's start with arizona. >> flake wins. >> flake wins. >> montana, that's scary. everybody, both sides say it's really too close. >> the libertarian candidate is going to make the winning number. it could. >> i guess he gets a couple. this guy john tester up a point or two and the question is does that save him? let's do edge tester. >> all right. next one? north dakota right next door. >> north dakota, i think berg wins. it's very,
. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> brown wins. does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale. >> give it to blue?...
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Nov 14, 2012
11/12
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>> it is legal as of now in nevada. we expect at least a dozen states to approve it next year if the fed don't get in our way. dennis: that is a very big if, isn't it? the entire council videogame business, that is where you started, you actually did "rockstar" for the playstation three. gambling is uniquely suited to go to the small screen, isn't it? >> it really is. look at the category and the new generation coming up although they access all of their information in all the applications on mobile devices. we see very few of them wanting to physically go to casinos or logon to the pc. dennis: are some videogame companies that might be well-suited to move into gambling once the entire thing clears up? zynga and farm bill. couldn't they still pay money to gamble? >> we absolutely believe it is the next form of monetization for video games. everybody paying $60 for a video game and then free to play. the problem is anybody can do that. we move into gambling, only companies that can afford the cost of entry will get in. d
>> it is legal as of now in nevada. we expect at least a dozen states to approve it next year if the fed don't get in our way. dennis: that is a very big if, isn't it? the entire council videogame business, that is where you started, you actually did "rockstar" for the playstation three. gambling is uniquely suited to go to the small screen, isn't it? >> it really is. look at the category and the new generation coming up although they access all of their information in all...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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one race where that may be is nevada. dean heller is facing democratic representative shelly berkeley. dan springer is live at the heller elects -- heller election headquarters in las vegas. what do we know at this hour? >> jaime, it is empty here because the republicans all wept home. went home. this was supposed to be a battle ground state. it didn't turn out that way. president obama carried nevada by over 6%. a lot of people split their vote today. we just got word that dean heller who is the republican who was running for the senate has won his race against shelly berkeley. this was his first try for the senate because he was the incumbent that was appointed when john enson had to resign in disgrace from a sex scandal. heller retains his seat. he wins his first election. this was not supposed to be as close as it was. it was only a point and a half separating the two, about 12,000 votes. but it was very close because as you just mentioned we saw a huge minority population, a huge young people vote here. hispanics cam
one race where that may be is nevada. dean heller is facing democratic representative shelly berkeley. dan springer is live at the heller elects -- heller election headquarters in las vegas. what do we know at this hour? >> jaime, it is empty here because the republicans all wept home. went home. this was supposed to be a battle ground state. it didn't turn out that way. president obama carried nevada by over 6%. a lot of people split their vote today. we just got word that dean heller...
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he is in colorado, nevada, and colorado, nevada and one other battleground state and then he heads to ohio. >> and vice president biden has been out on the campaign trail and playing the role of the attack dog calling the romney campaign quote a lie. tell us about that. >> he is swinging against the add that says in part, quote sold chrysler to the italians who are going to build deep in ki china. now them is fighting words when you are campaigning in ohio. he is challenging the facts in that add. the words are are literally correct but mid leading. in the auto bail out president obama allowed for the company fial which is owned by the italians to buy chrysler. so that part is true. but, they are now making some jeeps in china for the chinese markets. the adds make it seem as though they ar are taking american job and moving them to china. the ceo of the company has said that is not true. bottom line, it shows how much that auto bail out helps president obama with the voters in ohio and iowa. among non college white men in those states is higher than the other states anderson. >> hum,
he is in colorado, nevada, and colorado, nevada and one other battleground state and then he heads to ohio. >> and vice president biden has been out on the campaign trail and playing the role of the attack dog calling the romney campaign quote a lie. tell us about that. >> he is swinging against the add that says in part, quote sold chrysler to the italians who are going to build deep in ki china. now them is fighting words when you are campaigning in ohio. he is challenging the...
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Nov 4, 2012
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some would argue that michigan and nevada should have been leaning obama. we have a very close election. it will be decided on election night with a bunch of potential surprises. >>chris: you have a white board? karl: on the 3rd of november in 2008, president obama was at or above 50 percent in seven of the 13 battleground states that year. in the same states this year, same day, president obama is at 50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and wisconsin, he is only at 50 percent because there is one poll that has an eight-point lead. we have gone from cruising to victory in 2008 to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >>chris: a last question, what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania and what do you make of obama with last minute ad buys in florida and virginia. who is serious? who is bluffing in. >> they are all serious. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia, where the clear politics average goes to romney and pennsylvania is in play. if president obama was comfortable with pennsylvania he what
some would argue that michigan and nevada should have been leaning obama. we have a very close election. it will be decided on election night with a bunch of potential surprises. >>chris: you have a white board? karl: on the 3rd of november in 2008, president obama was at or above 50 percent in seven of the 13 battleground states that year. in the same states this year, same day, president obama is at 50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and...
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Nov 9, 2012
11/12
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. >>> as you know, nevada casino billionaire sheldon adelson spent $100 million of his own money and out of that, he elected no one. you know who else spent $100 million of her own money and nothing show for it, linda mcmahon. she was trying to get a senate seat in connecticut trying over two elections and lost both times. this time, linda mcmahon tried to make it look like she was running on the same ticket as president obama, which was a very nice try but connecticut apparently knew she was not and lost by 12 points. she lost the women's vote by nearly twice that margin. lost overall by 12 but lost women by 21. linda mcmahon despite being a woman running against man had a gender gap problem among the worst of all the republican candidates this year. boy, did republican candidates this year have a gender gap problem. look at this. florida senate race, republican connie mack lost to democrat bill nilsson by 13 points overall but 20 by women. in missouri, republican todd akin lost to claire mccaskill by 16 points and women, 22 points. tom smith in pennsylvania lost 18 to women. richar
. >>> as you know, nevada casino billionaire sheldon adelson spent $100 million of his own money and out of that, he elected no one. you know who else spent $100 million of her own money and nothing show for it, linda mcmahon. she was trying to get a senate seat in connecticut trying over two elections and lost both times. this time, linda mcmahon tried to make it look like she was running on the same ticket as president obama, which was a very nice try but connecticut apparently knew...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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next stop, nevada. jane wells looking at how snaene majority leader harry reid's state is handlingle upcoming fiscal cliff. [ male announcer ] this december, remember -- you can stay in and share something... or you can get out there and actually share something. ♪ the lexus december to remember sales event is on. this is the pursuit of perfection. or that printing in color had to cost a fortune. nobody said an all-in-one had to be bulky. or that you had to print from your desk. at least, nobody said it to us. introducing the business smart inkjet all-in-one series from brother. easy to use. it's the ultimate combination of speed, small size, and low-cost printing. we are gathered here today to celebrate the union of tim and laura. it's amazing how appreciative people are when you tell them they could save a lot of money on their car insurance by switching to geico...they may even make you their best man. may i have the rings please? ah, helzberg diamonds. nice choice, mate. ...and now in the presence
next stop, nevada. jane wells looking at how snaene majority leader harry reid's state is handlingle upcoming fiscal cliff. [ male announcer ] this december, remember -- you can stay in and share something... or you can get out there and actually share something. ♪ the lexus december to remember sales event is on. this is the pursuit of perfection. or that printing in color had to cost a fortune. nobody said an all-in-one had to be bulky. or that you had to print from your desk. at least,...
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Nov 2, 2012
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it's their nevada backup and vice versa, if one slips, they want to be able to hold up there. but i'm fascinated by also what romney's done in adding this pennsylvania on sunday. is it a sign of strength, or is it potentially a sign of weakness? is it oh, wait a minute, i'm missing -- is this sort of an on-side kick, hoping you recover it and you've still got to throw the bomb because if you pick off pennsylvania, then you don't have to worry about ohio anymore. and how much of this pennsylvania stop is about that versus a sign of strength? so to me, these candidates' schedules say a lot. the fact that he's spending one less event in ohio and deciding somehow one event in pennsylvania might make a difference, i think it says a lot about where they think ohio is. >> lawrence, if you look at the preponderance of public polls, it matches with what the obama campaign says. small but durable leads. what's the best case if you're the romney campaign from their point of view? say romney can win, what would the public polls and the obama campaign be missing? >> just an overall -- what
it's their nevada backup and vice versa, if one slips, they want to be able to hold up there. but i'm fascinated by also what romney's done in adding this pennsylvania on sunday. is it a sign of strength, or is it potentially a sign of weakness? is it oh, wait a minute, i'm missing -- is this sort of an on-side kick, hoping you recover it and you've still got to throw the bomb because if you pick off pennsylvania, then you don't have to worry about ohio anymore. and how much of this...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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winning in colorado and, of course, he won by what we expected, a fairly wide margin in the state of nevada. he beat romney by five points in new hampshire, the state romney's family spends his summers. late last night virginia was called in the president's favor. and more than hurricane sandy, the employment rate, or even the auto bailout what proved decisive was cold, hard demographics. as the obama campaign predicted more than a year ago the white portion of the electorate would drop and it dropped from 74% to 72% in 2012. the president may have won just 39% of white voters but he carried nearly eight in ten nonwhite voters including a whopping 93% of african-americans. 71% of had a tinos, and 73% of asian voters. and despite all the predictions young voters wouldn't turn out, they made up a higher percentage of the electorate than they did four years ago. that's right. a higher percentage of the electorate. romney also fell short on the issue which was supposed to be his calling card for office and which voters picked as their top concern, the economy. nearly as many said the president
winning in colorado and, of course, he won by what we expected, a fairly wide margin in the state of nevada. he beat romney by five points in new hampshire, the state romney's family spends his summers. late last night virginia was called in the president's favor. and more than hurricane sandy, the employment rate, or even the auto bailout what proved decisive was cold, hard demographics. as the obama campaign predicted more than a year ago the white portion of the electorate would drop and it...